How about some football to go with your Thanksgiving dinner? The NFL has a triple-header on deck for Thursday’s holiday and features a host of playoff hopefuls and Super Bowl threats. In fact, the .650 winning percentage between these teams is the second highest since the league expanded to three games on Thanksgiving. Five of the six teams playing on Thanksgiving also have a winning record, which is tied for a league high.
As we do every week for the entire list, we’ve collected all the best Thanksgiving picks and betting content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine and put them all in one place, so you can get picks against the spread our CBS Sports experts. as well as additional featured content for each game, including plays from SportsLine’s top experts and the SportsLine projection model, our staff’s best bets, survivor picks and more.
All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
What choices can you make with confidence during week 12? And which Super Bowl contender falls hard? Visit SportsLine as their amazing model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and raises nearly $7,000 for $100 players on the NFL’s top picks since its inception.
Time: Thursday, 12:30 pm ET (CBS), airs on Paramount+ (click here) Open: Bills -10Current: Bills -9.5
Featured Game | Detroit Lions vs. Buffalo Bills
“This has the makings of an offensive-heavy game. Both teams can score, but the Bills can really score. They’ll put up big numbers here as Josh Allen wins his second straight game in Detroit after beating the Browns last week pass. in the same building. The court is fast and the Bills can fly. The Lions won’t keep up.” — CBS Sports Senior NFL Analyst Pete Prisco has the Bills covering the 9.5 point spread and making this game over 54.5 total.
“The Lions have been rolling the last few weeks, but it’s hard for me to bet against Josh Allen with that line in double figures. Yes, Detroit’s defense has played better in their previous three games, but that was against the Packers, Bears . and the Giants. Buffalo’s offense is a completely different animal. Allen has historically played well on Thanksgiving, as the Bills are 2-0 SU in both games and the QB posted a 100+ passer rating in every contest. Although I think Buffalo’s offense can come into play. 30s inside Ford Field, I don’t see the Lions doing that in this environment. Specifically, I have my doubts because of protection against Jared Goff. Detroit ranks as the NFL’s No. 24 pass-blocking team this season, according to Pro Football Focus. Meanwhile, Buffalo is the league’s third-best pass-blocking team by the same rating system “. — CBS Sports’ Tyler Sullivan on why he takes the -9.5 Bills as one of his top picks for Week 12.
“Allen has crossed that line just once in the last four games, but I think he hit the Over here against a bad defense. The star quarterback is averaging 293 yards per game this season.” — CBS Sports NFL betting guru Jordan Dajani explains why he likes Josh Allen to surpass his 281.5 passing yards at -127.
“On paper, it looks like a game the Lions have no chance of winning, but if I’ve learned one thing in my life about picking NFL games, it’s that teams always seem to win when you think they have no chance. , especially when they’re coached by a guy whose most famous quote involves biting his kneecaps.I have no idea what Dan Campbell eats at his house on Thanksgiving, but there’s a 50% chance he be kneecaps
“The big problem in this game for the Lions is that they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL this year and will be playing a Bills offense that has been one of the best. The Lions have given up the most yards per game and most of points per game and that’s not a good combination when the team you’re playing ranks second in both points scored and yards per game.
“If this game had been played four weeks ago, I probably would have picked the Bills by 30, but the Lions are suddenly one of the hottest teams in football. When you combine that with the fact that the Bills have been slightly rut offensively, this it’s the recipe for a game that could come down to the wire. I told you we’d be talking about recipes.” — CBS Sports NFL writer and Pick Six Podcast co-host John Breech explains why he picked the Bills to narrowly beat the Lions, 30-27.
Time: Thursday, 4:30pm ET (Fox), airs on fuboTV (try it for free) Open: Cowboys -7 Current: Cowboys -9
Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants
“This has the makings of a Cowboys loss, much the same as Dallas’ 40-3 win over Minnesota just a few days ago. New York showed some cracks in its foundation in the loss to Detroit and losing several key contributors, including leading cornerback Adoree’ Jackson. That should allow the Cowboys’ offense to keep humming along, but it’s their defense that could really throw the game away. The Giants allow the second rate of highest pressure (45%) in the NFL this season, while the The Cowboys are applying the most pressure to opposing quarterbacks in the league.. In Week 3, Dallas pressured Daniel Jones 27 times in the win, which is the third most a lot of every game this season. With the Giants as beaten as they are and Dallas. playing at a championship-caliber level, they’re going to win this by double digits.” — CBS Sports NFL writer Tyler Sullivan explains why he’s bringing Dallas to cover New York as one of his five locks of the week.
The SportsLine projection model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 155-109 run against the NFL’s top picks dating back to the 2017 season .Now, the model is looking for a Thanksgiving six-legged conversation that would pay nearly 50-1. One of those legs is the total of more than 45 points in the Cowboys-Giants game. For the rest, you’ll have to go to SportsLine.
“When these two teams met in Week 3, the Cowboys won 23-16 and that was with Cooper Rush. In that game, the Cowboys sacked Daniel Jones five times and sacked him once and I think we’ll see more.As of Thursday, the Cowboys have won 10 of the last 11 games in this series and I don’t see that dominance ending this week.
“This is the first time these two teams have played on Thanksgiving since 1992. Thirty years ago, the Cowboys destroyed the Giants 30-3 and then won the Super Bowl two months later. I’m not saying it’s going to happen this year. , but I’m not saying that.” — CBS Sports’ John Breech on why he likes the Cowboys to knock off the Giants, 31-17.
“The Giants are coming off a horrible showing at home against the Lions, which means they could have been looking forward. The Cowboys straightened things out in their big win over the Vikings. The defense dominated, and will dominate here as Good. The Giants are too limited on offense.” — CBS Sports senior NFL analyst Pete Prisco says the Cowboys’ defense will once again lead them to victory.
Patriots at Vikings
Time: Thursday, 8:20pm ET (NBC), airs on fuboTV (try it for free) Open: Vikings -3.5Current: Vikings -3
Featured Game | Minnesota Vikings vs. New England Patriots
The SportsLine projection model has simulated the NFL’s Thanksgiving Day games 10,000 times and examined dozens of Caesars Sportsbook player props. We can tell you that the model has Vikings WR Jefferson over 88.5 receiving yards (-117), with the model projecting him to finish with 99 on average. However, the model also says that another star flies over its meter total and offers an add-on with one more payment. To see what they are, go to SportsLine.
“Now, this is the most intriguing Thanksgiving game to me. The last time the Patriots played on Thanksgiving, they beat the New York Jets 49-19 in the ‘Butt Fumble’ game. Speaking of beating to the Jets, that’s what the Patriots did. last week, with an 84-yard touchdown return with just five seconds left in the fourth quarter. They looked like the better team all afternoon, but it took them a long time to prove it. I thought Mac Jones was fine. He completed 23 of 27 passes for 246 yards, which is the highest completion percentage Jones has had this season (85.2 percent). Wind played a role in this matchup, but the defense was outstanding. They sacked Zach Wilson four times and allowed just 103 yards. Total offense! In ranking the teams competing for wild-card spots in the AFC, I actually have the Patriots at No. 2. They could make a run in the second half, like they did last year.
“As for the Vikings, yes, that 40-3 loss to the Cowboys is going to take some time to get over. Still, they can take a page…